2015-04-25 20:55:24 UTC
This would be a huge turnaround in the political landscape - and a chance for
Albertans to take a good look at what *non-corporate interests* can do for
http://poll.forumresearch.com/ - April 24, 2015 @ 9:00 AM
NDP take dramatic lead in Alberta
Majority government seen in wake of debate TORONTO April 24th, 2015 - In a
random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 801 Alberta
voters the night before and the night of the provincial party leaders’ debate .
almost 4-in-10 (38%) will vote NDP in the election called for May 5th, while
one quarter (25%) will vote for the Wildrose Party and one fifth will vote PCAA
(20%). Few will vote Liberal (7%), Alberta Party (6%) or any other party (5%).
These findings represent a dramatic shift from our last wave of polling on
April 10, when the three leading parties were essentially tied (Wildrose - 30%,
NDP - 28%, PCAA - 27%).
The NDP vote is common to younger Albertans (25 to 34 - 47%), the very
wealthiest ($100K to $250K - 45%), in Edmonton (56%) but not in central (25%)
or northern (24%) Alberta. The NDP are dominant in both Edmonton (56%) and
The Wildrose vote is common to southern (36%) and northern (35%) Alberta
outside the cities.
The PC vote is characteristic of the oldest (27%), the least wealthy (less than
$40K - 27%) and in northern Alberta (25%).
Of note, close to 4-in-10 of those who voted PC in the last election will vote
NDP this time (38%), as will one tenth of past Wildrose voters (12%) and as
many as one half of past Liberal voters (50%).
Slim NDP majority seen If these results are projected up to an 87 seat
Legislature, the NDP would take a 2 seat majority of 46, and the Wildrose Party
would take 32.
The PCs would take just 6 seats and the Liberals 3.
"The Alberta electorate has once again demonstrated its resistance to
expectations. While we were in field during the televised debate, which was
dominated by the leader of the NDP, Rachel Notley, we were also in field the
day before, with the same results. The New Democrats appear to have cobbled
together an unusual coalition of the wealthy, the young, disaffected PCs and
half the Liberal party. This may be a recipe for government," said Forum
Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
See graph at: